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The following is a Side Bar
that accompanied the article titled "Fractionally Owned
Aircraft: The Pig in the Python" published in the
February 1998 Business and Commercial Aviation. Reprinted
with permission of The McGraw Hill Companies, 1998.
SUPPLY
& DEMAND
Jay
Mesinger, president of J. Mesinger Aircraft Sales, Inc. of
Boulder, Colo., believes that the high-time fractional
aircraft will have to be appraised in a "What has
fractional ownership done to the fleet after
valuation?" he asked, rhetorically. "It will
provide two distinct categories, as airframe time always
has--we just haven't had such a clear distinction before.
Now we do, so if you look at it this way, it isn't
skewed." Considering a nine-year-old former NetJets
Citation SII with 8,800 hours on its clock, Mesinger asked,
"Now, how do we price this airplane? I have a client
who was intrigued with it, as it has low-time [overhauled]
engines. I advised the client not to buy it, though, since
it was priced at $2.5 million. In a down market, this
airplane would never resell at that price."
The
effect of a higher-time airframe varies with the strength of
the marketplace, Mesinger pointed out. "When it's
strong, everything is priced high; when it's weak,
everything is cheap, whether it's good or bad. And when it's
strong and everything is priced high, you can still buy junk
and pay too much for it. If the market is mediocre, there is
a distinction between good and bad. In today's strong
market, you should stay away from an airplane that is priced
too high...The hours will drive the value, not the year
model, in any economy."
People
buy into fractional ownership because their need eclipses
charter but is not great enough to justify full ownership.
"When the airplane then gets sold--and there is little
history now on the 'back' end of fractional ownership--the
guy who buys it fractionally then has an asset that isn't as
valuable as the asst that was purchased by the typical
flight department. That's one side of the equation; the
other side is the guy who buys it used with high time who
before now couldn't afford a new airplane. This buyer is
blind to airframe time but keen on acquisition cost; for
example, a charter operator."
There's
nothing negative about the presence of these high-time
former fractional aircraft in the used marketplace, Mesinger
concluded. "It's just a different situation. We'll get
used to it. We'll find ways to re-market these airplanes
with integrity. There will be a market for them."
"Used by the permission of the McGraw Hill Companies,
1998."
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